Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 2.997276 3.537038 4.171676 4.979751 5.991011 7.227710 8.874710e+00
2024-11-03 2.352031 3.065418 4.017791 5.413871 7.463885 10.457581 1.534751e+01
2024-11-10 1.968580 2.726060 3.820728 5.579886 8.461998 13.247649 2.240455e+01
2024-11-17 1.740254 2.529409 3.745601 5.856424 9.659732 16.755531 3.256214e+01
2024-11-24 1.510480 2.276755 3.516918 5.802661 10.248799 19.392780 4.268186e+01
2024-12-01 1.353343 2.106872 3.381190 5.862991 11.051343 22.784184 5.705856e+01
2024-12-08 1.222888 1.957643 3.248751 5.889555 11.784998 26.362265 7.512791e+01
2024-12-15 1.146323 1.887687 3.242476 6.158678 13.141358 32.193644 1.068079e+02
2024-12-22 1.036911 1.742803 3.070188 6.037662 13.530561 35.610516 1.340564e+02
2024-12-29 0.957682 1.642649 2.968021 6.046908 14.259329 40.520316 1.758305e+02
2025-01-05 0.879925 1.535387 2.834868 5.955088 14.687927 44.747990 2.223956e+02
2025-01-12 0.835020 1.486077 2.813681 6.127568 15.951564 52.976095 3.145210e+02
2025-01-19 0.757279 1.371957 2.657869 5.984551 16.394164 59.229048 4.230887e+02
2025-01-26 0.733327 1.366167 2.744676 6.521767 19.441064 81.259283 8.243606e+02
2025-02-02 0.690585 1.314194 2.715475 6.731695 21.490397 101.720413 1.443287e+03
2025-02-09 0.660049 1.283811 2.731259 7.081043 24.353384 132.845905 2.906470e+03
2025-02-16 0.611892 1.207939 2.621868 7.013044 25.437097 154.272517 4.869967e+03
2025-02-23 0.575866 1.154979 2.561625 7.089355 27.284058 187.138134 9.585094e+03
2025-03-02 0.541837 1.102452 2.493856 7.122970 28.994586 224.564782 2.008055e+04
2025-03-09 0.522817 1.082862 2.510769 7.464017 32.678941 298.775430 6.841300e+04
2025-03-16 0.487878 1.020974 2.401654 7.310550 33.447259 339.650297 1.651053e+05
2025-03-23 0.461808 0.978018 2.339540 7.322269 35.312182 408.649086 6.706237e+05
2025-03-30 0.434157 0.928290 2.250835 7.205936 36.300830 470.232711 3.425990e+06